A recent report by Old Mutual on Household Savings in South Africa highlighted again the current challenge presented to the country by overall levels of savings in the economy.
Between 1995 and 2007, the gross savings rate (measured as the percentage of household revenue that is not spent) declined from almost 4.5% to less than 2%.
Taking into account the rate of growth in household revenue over this period that represents a real decline of 3.4% annually – highlighting that although household revenues grew strongly, spending grew even more strongly.
With higher interest rates and fuel prices in 2008 consumer spending slowed down as disposable income decreased. This ensured even less opportunity to save as consumers battled to settle outstanding debt.
The picture in 2009 is different. Interest rate cuts, lower fuel prices mean more disposable income. Consumers should be encouraged to save. If revenue and spending continue to grow at historic average rates, the gross savings of South Africans will actually be negative within the next 10 years.
This method of measuring gross savings does not measure actual flows to savings vehicles – but it does indicate what portion of current revenues is not being spent on current consumption. It provides a useful picture of the trend in South African household savings.
The Old Mutual Savings Monitor can give you accurate data on the current spending habits of South Africans to help you see where you fit in the big picture.