A dream deferred

Synopsis: 
  • South Africa’s economy contracted in the second quarter largely due to the spike in global fuel prices. 
  •  Fuel prices have surged again in recent weeks, and will put fresh downward pressure on economic activity in South Africa and the rest of the world. 
  • The expected acceleration in local economic growth will therefore likely be delayed, but not permanently. 
  •  Important structural reforms will raise the medium-term growth potential of the economy, while precious metals prices remain an important tailwind. 
  • Combined with reasonable valuations, this means the outlook for real returns from domestic asset classes remains favourable.

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